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Posts Tagged ‘wealth’

SO WHATS SO GREAT ABOUT USA REAL ESTATE?

Saturday, July 2nd, 2011

Posted by Leonard Steinberg on July 4th weekend, 2011

As we pause in the middle of the year I reflect on what is great about the USA, and specifically what is so great about American real estate. Here is my list:

1)     You don’t have to know the royals to build something:  Unlike most countries, in the USA you could be an immigrant fresh off the boat (as we witness regularly in New York), and if you have the imagination, conviction and most importantly access to the means, you can build.

2)   While governments are making it increasingly more challenging for building, the good news is the new laws being imposed are designed to improve quality, safety and esthetic appeal…..well, not maybe everywhere….yet!

3)   The USA, unlike many other countries has a built in SCAVENGER SYSTEM that eats up distressed, abandoned property slowly but surely in times of trouble. Sometimes slower than we’d like, but the sight of urban decay lasting for 100 years is tough to find in the USA.

4)   USA real estate is incredibly diverse: sometimes awfully so, yet it reminds us of freedoms that simply do not exist elsewhere. From those vulgar Mc Mansions, to those painfully tasteful New England shingle abodes, to mountain lodges, contemporary glass skyscrapers, trailer parks with those oh-so-uniquely-American stacked tire planters, to bland strip malls, lavish suburban malls, stop-n-go supermarkets/gas stations: the variety is ceaseless.

5)   USA real estate employs LOTS of people: real estate brokers, appraisers, lawyers, title companies, builders, developers, renovators, the awful TV shows that cover real estate ‘reality’, maintenance staff, management agencies, repair industries…..one could conclude that real estate is the single most important driving force in the entire economy.

6)  USA real estate is a beneficiary of Americans love for owning a home: where else is there such a passion for a double height entry, circular driveway and a formal (unused) dining room?

7)  Real estate in the USA has limitless boundaries: the combination of wealth, growing population (the biggest recipient of immigrants both legal and illegal) and an endless supply of land and resources, not to mention talent and creativity makes this country unique.

THE TWO USA ECONOMIES: HERMES vs. H+M

Wednesday, July 21st, 2010

In to-day’s  New York Post, a story talks about the mounting evidence that there are two US economies operating side by side. They are correct.

While Main Street consumers struggle with high unemployment and mainstream retailers are forced to mark down merchandise to spark even mid-single digit sales gains, the luxury market is enjoying flush times — posting solid double-digit sales increases despite the high ticket prices.

For example, Hermes — whose luxury handbags frequently command price tags of $10,000 and up — said yesterday its sales surged a stronger-than-expected 27 percent during the first half of the year, with growing demand from super-rich shoppers in the US helping drive the results.

n June, Jaguar sales soared 53 percent and luxury hotel room rates rose 6 percent while Ford recorded sales gains of just 13 percent and economy hotel room rates slipped nearly 3 percent.

And while nationally the job picture remains bleak, the New York State Labor Department reported that the financial services sector added 2,600 Wall Street jobs in June.

At upscale Saks, sales are up 6 percent year-to-date — in line with upbeat reports this month from other luxury labels like Burberry and Armani – while more middle market JCPenney reported year-to-date sales gained just 1.6 percent.

And yesterday, Apple said quarterly sales at its upscale retail stores surged 73 percent to $2.58 billion, versus a first-quarter sales gain of 6.9 percent reported a month earlier by Best Buy.

Upscale shoppers also appear to be in the party mood.

“In the past week, we’ve sold more than five cases of Bordeaux priced at $12,000 each,” says Peter Morell, owner of Morell & Co., an upscale wine shop in Midtown. “For July, that’s pretty good.”

Sales at high-end retailer chains have soared 13 percent year-to-date, according to Customer Growth Partners. At the same time, sales at lower- and mid-price stores have risen by more modest single-digit percentages as most shoppers focus on basics.

That’s evidence that a gulf between the rich and the poor continues to widen, with the former mostly insulated from the economic headwinds that hamper the latter, says Craig Johnson, founder of the Customer Growth Partners, a Connecticut-based retail consultant.

“The high-end consumer is back this year, and it’s mainly a question of psychology,” Johnson says. “If they’re not spending, it’s because they’re simply not in the mood.”

While most shoppers weigh needs for clothing, electronics and groceries against weekly paychecks and health-care costs, luxury consumers’ spending habits can be affected most by emotions like guilt and shame.

The reality is we are seeing rather strong earnings this week….about 75% of companies are reporting good gains, and while they may not all be the double-digit-blowout gains a-la-Apple, they indicate a reasonably strong economy. Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Blackrock, etc are all doing rather well. With reduced staffing, and streamlined costs achieved in the depths of the recession, the bottom line always improves…..and those in power make more money, feel more confident and spend more. The two economies being discussed are also very relative to education levels. Unemployment in the USA is about 9.5%….yet amongst those with stronger education levels, college degrees, etc, unemployment is less than half that. This bodes well for Manhattan luxury real estate, a city that attracts the very talented and educated from around the USA and the world.

16% MORE MILLIONAIRES IN 2009

Wednesday, March 10th, 2010

The millionaires’ club in the United States grew by 16 percent in 2009, following a 27 percent decline in 2008. Families with a net worth of at least $1 million, excluding primary residences, rose to 7.8 million in 2009, an increase from 6.7 million a year earlier, according to a survey of high-net-worth U.S. households conducted by Spectrem Group. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 24 percent in 2009 and has risen 68 percent over the past 12 months.

Affluent households, which the survey defined as those with net assets of $500,000 or more, increased 12 percent to 12.7 million, the Chicago-based consulting firm said in a statement Tuesday. The number of households with a net worth of more than $5 million rose 17 percent to 980,000.

The average age of a so-called affluent investor is 58, compared with 62 for a millionaire and 67 for an investor with more than $5 million. Survey respondents in all three categories said they were most concerned about the impact of a prolonged economic decline on their financial well-being, according to Spectrem. The highest number of affluent and millionaire investors said they were likely to invest in cash, which includes certificates of deposit, over the next 12 months, followed by stocks and then bonds, said Spectrem.

The biggest number of ultra-high-net-worth investors said they were likely to invest in equities, followed by cash and international investments. The fewest wealthy investors said they were likely to invest in alternative investments such as hedge funds and investment real estate, Spectrem said.

The increase in the number of millionaires is still being held back by residential and investment real estate, which hasn’t bounced back, Walper said. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of home prices in 20 major cities was down 29 percent in December from its July 2006 peak.

This may further explain the renewed strength of the Manhattan luxury real estate market.