LuxuryBlurb

Posts Tagged ‘tea party’

OCCUPY WALL STREET: EAST SWITCHES WITH THE WEST?

Tuesday, May 1st, 2012

Posted by Leonard Steinberg on MAYDAY, 2012

Mayday celebrations re-kindled the fuel of Occupy Wall Streeters to-day and it made me wonder:  Is Western society becoming more socialist in its thinking while traditional communist countries embrace capitalism?

China, Russia, Georgia and other traditionally communist countries are thriving with a capitalist spirit that is elevating millions out of poverty with economic growth that outstrips all expectations. Obviously corruption is rampant, although that has certainly not escaped Western-style capitalism. Yet here in the good ‘ole USA we see a larger group of people yearning for somewhat socialist principles, especially a large group of the Occupy Wall Streeters. Just like the Tea Party, they are a mixed group, so no-one should label them with one train of thought. Groups of this kind always attract extremist radicals (the curse of our planet) that muddy the message.

Government employment keeps rising. Frustration with the system ‘not providing enough’ keeps growing. We all scratch our heads why job-growth is slow, yet blind ourselves to the fact that there is massive job creation for US companies….but in other countries. The young educated graduates are outraged that there are no jobs for them, even though their qualifications and education have not prepared them for this new world order driven by math and science. We simply don’t like to accept hard truths. We expect to receive the exact same retirement benefits planned 50 years ago when life expectancy was considerably lower. We are surprised by Apple’s massive profits, only to discover that a good chunk of their profits are derived by (legal) tax evasion. Many are shocked that rents rise: surely with growing insurance, labor, tax, fuel and energy costs rents should stay the same forever? We are even more surprised that Walmart had to make large bribes to operate in Mexico….shocking!

So should we be shocked by this more recent growing social unrest?  Does it represent a trend? Probably not: with high unemployment, frustration with a system that hides from the truth, and extremists on the left and the right, we should not expect calm and order. Will luxury Manhattan real estate have to plan for tighter security and more discretion? Will the thinking of the communist regimes of the East infiltrate the West? Its unlikely, although who on earth would have imagined Louis Vuitton, Hermes, Rolls Royce, Chanel and Rolex thriving in COMMUNIST China?

IT MAY BE A VERRRRRY LONG HALLOWEEN….

Saturday, October 30th, 2010

With almost certainty we will see a major political shift after next week’s  elections. The presidency will be stuck in a potential gridlock where the only window of opportunity is 2011 says Nouriel Roubini in to-day’s Financial Times. The president deserves credit for setting up a bipartisan debt commission, which is most likely to propose a sensible combination of entitlement spending cuts and increases in taxes. But sadly the chance that these recommendations will be implemented in 2011 is close to zero: Republicans will veto any tax increase, while Democrats will resist unpopular entitlement reform. Again, Washington politicians serving their own interests of power and not the well being of the country. The TEA PARTY is not the Third party this country needs after all…..the THIRD PARTY needed is the one that can unlock gridlock and side with the party that makes the most sense for the country, trimming it’s excesses and de-radicalizing its agenda….an intelligent party …….GO BLOOMBERG!

So we see LOTS OF GRIDLOCK over the next 2 years, a protracted Halloween if you like. And how will this affect New York real estate?

“New York’s high end real estate is fueled primarily by Wall Street,” says Leonard Steinberg, managing director of Prudential Douglas Elliman and publisher of LUXURYLETTER. “Wall Street goes where the money is, and if growth is not in the USA, it will put its money where it can make the most money. There are many other parts of the world where growth and success are huge, and US investors and companies have their hands in all of this.  Remember corporations and private equity are sitting on over 2 Trillion dollars of cash right now. Wall Street likes certainty, and its almost certain not much is going to change in Washington for the next 2 years. We think this will keep the markets stable: they will not soar upwards, nor dip downwards. Some areas of inventory shortage may rise more than others though: that is happening already.”

TARP PROFITS! TEA PARTY TO CELEBRATE?

Monday, March 29th, 2010

The U.S. government, which announced Monday that it plans to slowly unload its 27% stake in Citigroup Inc. over the remainder of this year, currently stands to pocket an $8 billion profit on the investment from last September. That’s a remarkable 30% return in six months, or triple the return generated by the average hedge fund manager investing in distressed securities, according to data from Hedge Fund Research Inc. Of course, the value of the government’s huge stake in Citi could fall by the time it’s all sold. After all, the U.S. Treasury is proposing to sell a whopping 7.7 billion shares, which would be the second-largest stock sale of any kind ever.

So why all the noise about TARP funds when for one of the first times in history a US government program actually turns a huge profit? Where are all the naysayers and tea-party buffoons now that their complaints about the TARP program look quite simply….stupid? And this is good for New York City as the sale of all this stock will produce huge commissions…..that will result in bonuses…..that will be taxed to pay for Albany’s stupidity….and spent in the City…..hopefully on real estate!