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Posts Tagged ‘retail’

LEFRAK SAYS FUTURE IS BRIGHTER THAN THE PAST

Monday, December 5th, 2011

Posted by Leonard Steinberg on December 5, 2011

Richard Le Frak, one of New York/New Jersey’s great developers and owner of some 16million square feet of property, not to mention his company’s stellar and consistent ranking in the Forbes Top 400 privately held companies, said to-day on CNBC with some conviction:

“As of to-day the future looks brighter than the past.”

Words like these coming from a guy who obviously sees the bigger picture sooner should be encouraging to all. This sentiment seems to be rising, with employment figures improving slightly, on-line retail sales surging last week to new records, and post Thanksgiving retail rising dramatically too. Consumer confidence spiked in the past few weeks, and in an economy fueled by consumer spending, these indicators should not be ignored. more importantly, Europe seems to be working on big solutions to their big problems, and even Italy, notorious for push-back on any form of  spending cuts, has not experienced and riots or craziness since its new prime minister instituted some rather severe adjustments since the departure of soap-opera-worthy Berlusconi. Maybe the end of this embarrassing politics-turned-reality-show in Italy signals a shift for all other countries to follow?

LeFrak is a big proponent of Senator Chuck Schumer’s push for the ‘BUY-REAL-ESTATE-FOR-A-VISA’ legislation….in fact it was his idea. This may be perceived by some as a easy immigration policy for the rich, but in reality it is legislation that would have positive practical consequences: Wealthy people buying up real estate, staying in the country for 180 days per year, spending, investing and being taxed here can certainly not do anything but benefit all. It appears their is bi-partisan support for this even from the Tea-partiers. Yikes! Could this mean some practical thinking is coming to Washington? Next should be automatic US citizenship to foreign students graduating with master’s and doctorates in maths and sciences! Its time for real, practical, smart solutions.

The importance of LeFrak’s comments are significant to the housing/real estate market especially: Remember that construction employed millions of Americans before the GREAT RECESSION. Returning just half of those jobs would create a significant dent in the still dismal unemployment figures, reduce the burden on states and the fed for support, boost consumer’s ability to spend, boost growth and tax revenues, and so on and so on…..

Fingers crossed Europe follows through on their plans and the local US politiking does not derail what could be the beginnings of a real recovery.

RETAIL UP 0.3%! A REFLECTION ON REAL ESTATE?

Friday, March 12th, 2010

Led by a big gain in electronics, U.S. retail sales increased 0.3% to a seasonally-adjusted $355.5 billion in February, despite three major snow storms in the East, the Commerce Department estimated Friday.

Sales have risen in four of the past five months, and were up 3.9% compared with a year earlier. Most categories of retailers recorded month-over-month increases in February, driving sales to their biggest percentage gain since November, the government said. Auto and truck sales were one exception, falling 2% compared with January. Sales at health- and personal-care stores dropped the most in six years. Excluding autos and trucks, retail sales increased 0.8% to $297.7 billion in February, the largest gain since November.

The storms had “no noticeable effect on retail sales,” wrote Brian Fabbri, an economist for BNP Paribas. Sales at non-store retailers, such as catalogs and online stores, were unchanged. “While we are not expecting the consumer to come roaring back in the near-term, improvements have been quicker than expected considering the still-distressed state of the labor market,” wrote Adam York, an economist for Wells Fargo Securities.

February sales were better than expected. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch were expecting February sales to be unchanged, and for sales excluding autos to rise 0.1%.

Retail reflects the real estate market in some way:  February was brutally cold and stormy, yet sales were brisk. We ponder what sales will produce when the weather warms up….and it is…..and we are seeing LOTS of activity in the luxury real estate market. March’s figures will be interesting indeed!