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Posts Tagged ‘Republicans’

SIGNS OF FISCAL CLIFF RICH-TAX SANITY?

Monday, December 17th, 2012

Posted by Leonard Steinberg on December 17th, 2012

The Republicans have agreed to raising the tax rates on the rich at last…..the real rich: those earning $ 1million and more per year. At last the definition of wealthy has shifted from a stupid version to a more realistic one. Which idiotic politician truly believed that earning $ 200k per year in Los Angeles, New York, Miami, Chicago, Boston, or a whole host of cities where the cost of living was so significantly higher than anywhere else in the USA was rich?

Now the Republicans have to acknowledge PART TWO of this inconvenient equation: simply raising tax rates will not make the system equitable at all. I know people who earn $ 1 million per year who pay almost TRIPLE the taxes of those who earn the exact same. That is unfair and should be considered un-American. Are we not equal in the eyes of our constitution? While I don’t think merely raising taxes on the rich is the ultimate solution, I do believe those who do earn a million or more will not cut their spending by much because of another $ 30,000.00 in taxes. It will cut savings though, but this could be off-set by an improved economy quite easily. It also may be a good idea that while raising the taxes on the real rich, they consider a contractual time-line…….so that these raises are not permanent, but tied to performance. Isn’t this what the politicians and masses are expecting of Wall Street? Once these tax raises have achieved the desired effect they should expire surely?

Raising taxes on those earning $ 1million or more per year will not impact the New York luxury real estate market negatively, if this is part of a FISCAL CLIFF deal that addresses spending in an aggressive, yet intelligent way: a good deal will spur the economy and markets and easily compensate for the loss in net income. A good deal will be focused on JOB CREATION: this is the ultimate cure for the ailing economy: once there are fewer citizens draining government tax dollars, earning an income of their own and spending/consuming we will be well on the road to a strong recovery. But only then.

OCCUPY WASHINGTON DC? THE PEOPLE ARE ANGRY!

Saturday, November 19th, 2011

Posted by Leonard Steinberg on November 19th, 2011

As our beloved government teeters on the edge of another major meltdown with the ‘super-committee’ due to formulate a solution to our budget crisis by the middle of next week (something that could cause radical ramifications throughout the markets, especially the credit markets…. think housing), maybe its time for all of us throughout this country to re-direct the anger recently demonstrated by the rather un-focused, semi-kooky and often misdirected OCCUPY WALL STREET to a newer, more focused, more pertinent movement:  OCCUPY WASHINGTON DC!

Yes, we Americans are sick and tired of the games Washington plays: remember lots of the bad behaviour and criminal activity associated with the Great Recession happened in great part because of certain action and in-action by government. Now of course they are all blaming one another, even though they are all to blame. Pretty much all government activity seems to boil down to 2 things: 1) money  and 2) re-election.

Both the Democrats and Republicans are playing political games at the expense of the country: Republicans delusional pandering to those who receive un-warranted tax breaks while a vast majority of ‘the 1%’ pay their fare share is disgraceful. Remember just because the tax rate is the same for all does not mean all earning the same income pay the same taxes: the same is true for real estate taxes where the disparity between very similar properties is often very different. Democrats on the other hand need to acknowledge that we are spending much more than we earn: raising the retirement age and a host of other common-sense budget cuts are practical and essential, not cruel, and willing this committee to fail to blame the Republicans for the gridlock so that Obama can be re-elected is reckless at best.

I never thought I would see the day when I’d agree with Sarah Palin, but this week her editorial in the Wall Street Journal struck a chord…..and it may explain why we have the housing mess that ultimately caused the financial meltdown that we are still suffering from. In her article she shows how Congress, the lawmakers of our country, obey a different set of laws than the vast majority of us mere voters (and taxpayers!)…. Here are some examples:

Insider Trading – using government information not available to the public at large to predict which companies’ stocks will rise or fall.

IPO Gifts – While it is illegal for members of Congress to accept cash gifts from interested parties, there is no restriction on their being offered initial public offerings in firms, which can be very profitable.

Self-Serving Earmarks
– Some members of Congress have submitted infrastructure earmark requests for their districts that appeared to increase their value of their real estate holdings.

Encouraging Campaign Donations
– Palin calls this “subtly extorting campaign donations through the threat of legislation unfavorable to an industry.” She may know about this subject first hand with the oil industry in Alaska?

The insider advantages to being a Washington player are obvious, and the hypocrisy pretty astounding as witnessed this week by Newt Gingrich. Ms. Palin cites in this article that 47% of Congressmen are millionaires compared to 1% of the US…..very telling, but also somewhat hypocritical when she has parlayed her career from a lowly beauty-queen/sportscaster to a career politician of almost 20 years…..and now more recently she dumped low-paying government realizing the value of her time in ‘the club’, transitioning from governor to a very highly paid book writer, speaker, activist and correspondent for FOX TV, certainly roles that would not pay as well were it not for her lengthy political career.

Maybe it is time for us to OCCUPY WASHINGTON DC:  This government is obviously in need of a major overhaul, and the loudest possible message should be sent to end the political game-playing that is taking place at the expense of  99,99999999999% of the country that have to foot the bill.

Some may wonder why a real estate blogger would be writing this political post: let’s face it, there won’t be much of a real estate market if we do not fix this government….fast!

IT MAY BE A VERRRRRY LONG HALLOWEEN….

Saturday, October 30th, 2010

With almost certainty we will see a major political shift after next week’s  elections. The presidency will be stuck in a potential gridlock where the only window of opportunity is 2011 says Nouriel Roubini in to-day’s Financial Times. The president deserves credit for setting up a bipartisan debt commission, which is most likely to propose a sensible combination of entitlement spending cuts and increases in taxes. But sadly the chance that these recommendations will be implemented in 2011 is close to zero: Republicans will veto any tax increase, while Democrats will resist unpopular entitlement reform. Again, Washington politicians serving their own interests of power and not the well being of the country. The TEA PARTY is not the Third party this country needs after all…..the THIRD PARTY needed is the one that can unlock gridlock and side with the party that makes the most sense for the country, trimming it’s excesses and de-radicalizing its agenda….an intelligent party …….GO BLOOMBERG!

So we see LOTS OF GRIDLOCK over the next 2 years, a protracted Halloween if you like. And how will this affect New York real estate?

“New York’s high end real estate is fueled primarily by Wall Street,” says Leonard Steinberg, managing director of Prudential Douglas Elliman and publisher of LUXURYLETTER. “Wall Street goes where the money is, and if growth is not in the USA, it will put its money where it can make the most money. There are many other parts of the world where growth and success are huge, and US investors and companies have their hands in all of this.  Remember corporations and private equity are sitting on over 2 Trillion dollars of cash right now. Wall Street likes certainty, and its almost certain not much is going to change in Washington for the next 2 years. We think this will keep the markets stable: they will not soar upwards, nor dip downwards. Some areas of inventory shortage may rise more than others though: that is happening already.”