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Posts Tagged ‘multiple bids’

NEW YORK TIMES COVERS STRONG REAL ESTATE MARKET

Saturday, April 14th, 2012

Posted by Leonard Steinberg on April 14th, 2012

After we reported for several months on the extremely busy New York real estate market, this morning the New York Times featured this story…..on the front cover!  You know it serious if its on the front cover….

They talked about the lines of people outside 422 West 20th Street…..about 4 weeks after we reported it here (with a photo!). They talked about the return of many multiple bids on strong properties, about 6 weeks after we reported this in LUXURYLETTER, our monthly market report. I could continue to badger The Times for not being as on top of the market as it should be, but I think they have redeemed themselves by placing the story on the front cover. That certainly indicates a level of certainty that should erase any doubts in the minds of all that we are now in a very, very active, strong market.

For the first time in years we are selling un-built condo units off floorplans (WITHOUT A SALES OFFICE) with only a raw concrete shell of a building (482 Greenwich Street, THE ARMAN), and several contracts are out with 3 units already spoken for. Having a reputable developer and builder (and broker!) helps.

Again the subject of how long this will last arose, and the answer is definite:  just like really bad markets, really good markets never last forever. We are in a lower inventory period, with super-low interest rates, few new buildings that are deliverable soon, and lots of new global cash seeking a refuge from uncertainty as well as fears of inflation. These factors combined always fuel robust activity.

Any smart buyer to-day would know that buying now with interest rates as low as they are would cover a dip in pricing, although that seems highly unlikely. In fact, the opposite is ture: we see price escalation. I spoke about this a few weeks ago……read it in the Times soon!

BIDDING WAR CITY

Tuesday, March 8th, 2011

Posted by Leonard Steinberg on March 7, 2011

While not every listing is producing multiple bids, the volume of multiple bids on good properties is back in a BIG way in New York City real estate, both in the residential and commercial sectors. (It has also returned to the art world and many other markets) While these multiple bids do not necessarily produce bids over the asking prices, the fact that there are multiple bidders is causing many properties to reduce their level of negotiability…..often to zero. AND, this is happening only on correctly priced, highly desirable properties. But it is happening across the board and we suspect the results of the first quarter of 2011 will indicate price escalation and a jump in volume.

We see it first had in the residential market, but we hear of the same thing in the commercial market, where very large leases are being signed, often as a result of multiple bidders. Business is definitely growing in Manhattan. Unemployment is shrinking, more so than was originally estimated.

What does this mean? Most importantly, it means there are more buyers than there are sellers of the best properties, hence an inventory shortage in certain segments. This may take 18 months to cure: While new development planning has roared back to life, actual product that can be moved into is not going to help the current situation. With businesses growing and hiring, the demand for property will continue to grow, possibly out-pacing supply. Big cities continue to become more and more desirable to a wider audience than ever before…..including retirees, young families, and foreign buyers.

How to win a bidding war? Know your facts and figures well. Too many buyers are focused on closed sales from the past 12 months, blinding themselves to the fact that the market has recovered since then. A listing that closed in September 2010, probably is a reflection of the market in June 2010. That information may be out-dated. Try to tap into what is selling for what right now…..the kind of information no website is delivering. And more importantly, focus on the alternatives: if the competition for this specific property is in very limited supply, be certain it may be correctly, or under-priced.

New York real estate buyers definitely have herd mentality, so do not be fooled into thinking that just because a property has multiple bids it is the best one…..then again, its nice to know more than one person likes what you like.

TWO PRE-RECESSION WORDS RETURN: 1) MULTIPLE 2) BIDS

Tuesday, December 21st, 2010

Posted by Leonard Steinberg on December 21, 2010

Before the recession hit hard, MULTIPLE BIDS were the norm on many real estate listings. Those two words virtually disappeared from the vocabulary of New York real estate brokers: they are ba-ack!

I have recently experienced a few of my own listings with more than one bidder, and I am hearing chatter throughout the industry of the same thing happening. While most multiple bids are not over the asking prices, they are shifting selling prices upwards. This may be a short lived phenomenon, but with shrinking inventories, and 2 years of virtually zero new construction, I think multiple bids will be with us for quite a while. We predicted this several months ago in LUXURYLETTER.

TIme will tell…..